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Market Correlations

How markets relate to each other — and what it means for your portfolio

What are correlations?

Correlation measures how two markets move together. +1 means they move in perfect sync, -1 means they move in opposite directions, and 0 means they're independent.

How to use this

If you hold YES on BTC and BTC↔SOL = +0.82, you already have indirect SOL exposure. Mix uncorrelated or negatively correlated markets to reduce portfolio risk.

BTC and SOL move together

+0.82

When Bitcoin rises, Solana tends to follow. Both are driven by the same crypto market sentiment, risk appetite, and institutional flows.

BTC $110K MarchSOL $300 April

Rate cuts hurt stock optimism

-0.42

Markets expecting Fed rate cuts often signal economic weakness, which correlates with lower S&P 500 expectations.

Fed Rate Cut MarchS&P 500 above 6000

Sports markets cluster together

+0.45

NFL and NBA markets show moderate correlation. Similar trader demographics and sentiment patterns drive bets across sports categories.

Chiefs Super BowlWarriors PlayoffsNFL Draft QB1

Sports are independent from economics

+0.03

Sports outcomes don't depend on economic conditions. Great for portfolio diversification — mix sports and economics positions to reduce risk.

All sports marketsAll economics markets

Crypto rises with stocks

+0.55

BTC and S&P 500 show moderate positive correlation. Both benefit from risk-on sentiment and are sensitive to Fed policy expectations.

BTC $110K MarchS&P 500 above 6000

Politics stands alone

+0.10

Senate confirmation outcomes are largely independent from financial markets. Political events follow their own dynamics and news cycles.

Senate ConfirmationMost other markets

What does this mean?